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ATS: 13-12-1
ATS (+490 UNITS)
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The Bottom Line: The Wake Forest Demon Deacons will simply overpower the Bears on every spot of the field in this opening game. Take Wake Forest to cover the small 12 point spread easily in this game.
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons didn't miss a beat in the off-season as they simply got better on all sides of the ball. The offense is stacked with QB Skinner and RB Adams, who are top of the class for their positions. The defense is extremely scary this season and should be top 10 in the country by year's end with nine starters back for a group that led the nation in turning turnovers into touchdowns. Baylor is going to have problems getting points in this game, and then stopping the Deacons in the red zone. Skinner and Adams are going to shred up this Baylor defense that allowed 475 yards total at home and an average of 37 points.
The Bears have so many issues it's hard to begin at any particular point. They have a new head coach Art Briles who has the challenge of taking over this losing program. Don't expect anything much from the bears early on as they will have to adapt to this new system. Another problem the Bears have will be generating any type of consistent offense. First off, the QB situation is still unclear as a group of underachieving QB's are fighting for the position of starting QB. Blake Szymanski, returning from last year; Kirby Freeman, the transfer from Miami; true freshman Robert Griffin; and junior college transfer Jeremy Sanders. The 2007 starter Blake Szymanski is a junior who threw for over 2,800 yards but also chucked 18 interceptions and fumbled the ball six times. The 24 turnovers there played a huge part in the 37 total turnovers Baylor had and their -18 in turnover margin was dead last at the Division I-A level. If Szymanski isn’t the starter it could be Miami (Fla.) transfer Kirby Freeman who himself threw 16 interceptions while splitting time with the Hurricanes. In the long run true freshman Robert Griffin will be who the Bears turn to simply due to his athleticism.
Baylor must also replace running back Brandon Whitaker, who led the Bears in both rushing (40.7 ypg) and receiving (58-425), as well as offensive guard Chad Smith, a two-year starter along the o-line. At running back, sophomore Jay Finley emerged from spring ball No. 1 on the depth chart with fifth-year senior Jacoby Jones and senior Ray Sims, a converted safety, sharing the No. 2 line. Finley and Jones averaged 17.2 ypg and 27.4 ypg, respectively a year ago, while Sims returns to a position he played in high school.
Look, Baylor lost their last 8 games of the season and didn’t get within 20 points in any of those losses. Now, they have to start the season with a new head coach, a new RB, and a quarterback by committee approach. At home, the Bears are 3-8 ATS last 2 years, and 2-3 ATS at home last season. Wake Forest was on fire to end the season going a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS to end the season. Further, they were the team to bet on from the ACC going 9-4 ATS, 4-3 ATS on the road against all opponents.
Take the Deacons as this is a very modest spread at 12, a number the Deacons will have no trouble covering as they should win by 2 TD's. Watch the Deacons get off to a great start by trouncing the ill prepared Bears in this season opener.
